35 states are at critical COVID risk, meaning that they have very high case counts and cases are projected to grow substantially.
Coastal states will likely see the largest near-term increases in the rate of case growth. Cases will likely increase rapidly in Washington, California, New York, Maryland and D.C.
Seattle, Bay Area and New York City— three areas which had been keeping case counts relatively low— are expected to worsen in the near-term. The counties of particular concern are: in New York, Bronx, New York and Queens counties; in Washington, Pierce, Snohomish, and King counties; In California, San Francisco, San Mateo, Alameda, Contra Costa counties.
The Plains states are also projected to get worse in the near-term, with North Dakota and Kansas expected to see rapid further increases. North Dakota may surpass 200 new daily cases per 100k population by next week, a record level for the state.