Cusp of the next wave?

Our state-by-state (and often, city-by-city) response to the pandemic has created a patchwork of case trajectories, and this week is no different. Kinsa’s HealthWeather model has predicted a rise in cases over the next several weeks in a variety of locations across the country, based on rates of transmission (Rt), current case count, and other factors.  As news reports mount of a possible third wave (with infections rising in 41 states reported today by The New York Times), we are watching trends in the states listed below, which were the states our model has flagged most recently, as bellwethers of the national case trajectory.