Case Growth Likely for Most States, a Glimmer of Hope for a Few

The HealthWeather Briefing aggregates insights from Kinsa’s network of smart thermometers and shares where we expect to see changes in COVID case counts and trajectories. Get your insights at a glance. Our models use a combination of reported COVID data and our smart thermometer signals. We often see a dip in usage of our thermometers

Coastal Cases Continue to Climb, Arizona and Others Turn Critical

The HealthWeather Briefing aggregates insights from Kinsa’s network of smart thermometers and shares where we expect to see changes in COVID case counts and trajectories. Get your insights at a glance. Our data shows 44 states are at critical risk, up from 35 states last week. The recent additions include Virginia, Arizona, California and Florida.

Flare Ups Likely on Both Coasts

35 states are at critical COVID risk, meaning that they have very high case counts and cases are projected to grow substantially. Coastal states will likely see the largest near-term increases in the rate of case growth. Cases will likely increase rapidly in Washington, California, New York, Maryland and D.C. Seattle, Bay Area and New

Hard Times Ahead as Minor Gains Lost

With COVID-19 data from this week showing record case numbers and hospitalizations, Kinsa’s data show no signs of things getting better. 15 states are signalling imminent increases in our early-warning system, including the already hard-hit states of Texas, Missouri and West Virginia. El Paso county in Texas, where cases are already high at 176 cases

Warning signs continue as nation tops 100k daily infections

Continuously elevated transmission rates across the country led to sad new records this week: for the first time, the U.S. reported over 100,000 new infections in a single day. This sustained, upward trend may be driven by a confluence of factors — colder weather, returning to school and college campuses, waiting among crowds to vote

19 Flashing Beacons

Cases ebbed and flowed in various states throughout the summer, creating a relatively stable — although unacceptably high — national average of around 40,000 new daily cases. However, with daily infections recently reaching 70,000 per day, it is clear that the country has entered an alarming new stage of the pandemic. Unfortunately, our data indicate

Cusp of the next wave?

Our state-by-state (and often, city-by-city) response to the pandemic has created a patchwork of case trajectories, and this week is no different. Kinsa’s HealthWeather model has predicted a rise in cases over the next several weeks in a variety of locations across the country, based on rates of transmission (Rt), current case count, and other

Tides turn for the worse in several states

The upper midwest has dominated recent COVID-19 news coverage following outbreaks in Wisconsin and the Dakotas. Now, however, Kinsa data shows new problem spots in areas where the virus has been relatively well-controlled since the first wave this spring. Specifically, Kinsa data indicates that cases are likely to rise in several parts of the northeast

Kinsa Launches COVID-19 Prediction Model

As we first saw in March, aggregate data from Kinsa’s network of smart thermometers can serve as an early warning system for COVID-19 spread. Since that time, even as social behaviors and policy measures have evolved, Kinsa’s illness data has continued to be an early indicator of community spread. Kinsa has published this aggregate illness

Status quo nationally, but new areas of concern emerge

Two weeks ago, we predicted that the late-summer decline in new COVID-19 cases would soon come to an end. Indeed, after two months of gradual improvement, new infections now appear to have stabilized around a still-high baseline of 40,000 per day nationally. Our forecast calls for more of the same at a national level. Kinsa